Andorra Population to Surge 18-28% by 2040 Amid Aging and Immigration

Andorra's population is forecast to rise 18.6% to 28.5% over the next 15 years, reaching between 103,604 and 112,221 residents by 1 January 2040 from 87,325 estimated on 1 January 2025, Department of Statistics projections show. The central scenario anticipates 107,933 people, while a no-immigration case would reduce numbers to 85,311 and a constant-2024-trends projection would lift them to 118,007.

Every model predicts faster population aging. The share of under-15s will shrink proportionally across scenarios, though absolute figures could climb in high-growth and constant-trend cases. The 15-64 working-age cohort expands in all but the zero-migration outlook. The over-65 group faces the biggest jump, gaining 9,796 to 11,375 individuals.

In the central projection, net immigration eases from 4,591 in 2024 to 3,600 by 2040. Low-growth immigration falls below 2016-2018 levels, while high-growth slows more gradually toward 2022 averages. Life expectancy climbs 2.3 years for men to 83.2 and 1.6 years for women to 87.9. Fertility inches from 0.85 children per woman in 2024 to 1.10 in 2040.

Statistics officials warn of demographic pressures emerging within a decade under persistent 2024 trends, marked by one of the world's lowest birth rates and heavy reliance on migration. Long-term expansion hinges on drawing and keeping immigrants amid economic and land constraints.

At end-2025, among 89,058 residents, Andorra had 40,664 households, averaging 2.19 people each—down slightly from 2.22 in 2024. Andorra la Vella led with 11,284 households, followed by Escaldes-Engordany (6,986), Encamp (6,521), La Massana (5,527), Sant Julià de Lòria (4,091), Canillo (3,877) and Ordino (2,378). Every parish added households from 2024, with Canillo and Ordino up 6.5% and 4.3%.

Over 2021-2025, Canillo saw the sharpest household rise at 42.9% (adding 1,163), trailed by Ordino (18.8%), Encamp (13.8%) and La Massana (5%). Parish averages ranged from 2.51 in Sant Julià de Lòria to 1.67 in Canillo, with Ordino at 2.39, Escaldes-Engordany at 2.31, and Andorra la Vella and La Massana both at 2.20.

Households split as 37.4% single-person, 25% two-person, 32.1% three-to-five members and 5.6% over five. Among couples, 65.5% were both non-Andorrans, 24.7% both Andorrans and 9.8% mixed—patterns holding steady recently.

In 2024, resident households filled 39,271 housing units, up 2.9% from 2023, with rentals at 64.5%. Apartments made up 92.2% of stock, averaging 3.56 rooms. Overall rental rates reached 9.5 euros per square metre, climbing to 13 euros for units with tenants under one year.

End-2025 data exposed a marked gender skew, with 3,500 more men than women overall despite more women over 65. Working-age (15-64) numbers stood at 34,568 men versus 30,796 women, and under-15s at 5,000 boys against 4,800 girls. Projections show this imbalance roughly tripling to about 10,000 by 2040 in the central scenario, fueled by male-dominated immigration despite higher male mortality, with roughly 400 more men arriving annually.